Polls have opened for a second day of voting in Egypt's landmark
parliamentary elections, the first since Hosni Mubarak's
ouster.
The turnout on the first day was massive, despite security
concerns and turmoil over a deadly spate of violence in the week
before the balloting. It reflects the nation's determination to
break away from the past after 10 months of frustration over how
the military rulers who took over from Mubarak are handling the
transition.
Tuesday's balloting is the second day in a voting process
staggered over the next six weeks across 27 provinces.
The election will show whether one of America's most important
Middle East allies will remain secular or move down a more Islamic
path as have other countries swept up in the Arab Spring
They waited in long lines for hours to vote,
despite a new wave of unrest, fears about a sharply divided society
and uncertainty over the nation's future.
For the millions of Egyptians who cast ballots Monday, the first
parliamentary elections since they ousted Hosni Mubarak were a
turning point in history _ if for no other reason than they were
finally getting a chance to be heard after decades of rigged
voting.
The outcome will indicate whether one of America's most
important Middle East allies will remain secular or move down a
more Islamic path, as have other countries swept up in the Arab
Spring.
"I have hope this time," said Amal Fathy, a 50-year-old
government employee who wears the Islamic veil, as she patiently
waited to vote. "I may not live long enough to see change, but my
grandchildren will."
Since the uprising that forced out Mubarak nearly 10 months ago,
Egyptians had looked forward to this day as a celebration of
freedom after years of stifling dictatorship. Instead, there has
been deep disappointment with the military rulers who replaced the
old regime and a new wave of protests and clashes that began 10
days before the vote.
Adding to the disarray, the multiple stage election process,
which will stretch over months, is extremely complicated. Some of
the key political players complained they did not have enough time
or the right conditions to organize for the vote.
If there was little jubilation, there was hope _ and even
defiance _ with many determined to either push the military from
power or vote against the Muslim Brotherhood and other Islamist
groups who are expected to dominate the balloting.
"This was simply overwhelming. My heart was beating so fast,"
Sanaa el-Hawary, a 38-year-old mother of one said after she cast
her vote in Cairo. "This is my life, it's my baby's life. It's my
country and this is the only hope we have now."
Female voters appeared to outnumber the men by far, shattering
widespread notions in a society whose women are mostly dismissed or
taken lightly.
Women waiting for five hours at one polling center chanted: "We
will not give up, we will not give up."
In Cairo's crowded Shoubra district, 34-year-old Toka Youssef
explained why she was voting for the first time in her life.
"Before, there were no real elections. It was all theater. Now
I'm optimistic in the future. These are the first steps toward
democracy," she said. "It's a bit confused and chaotic because
we've never seen this many people vote. No one cared this much
before."
Ever since an 18-day uprising toppled Mubarak's regime and
brought the military to power, Egypt has gone through violence,
splits in society, a worsening economy and a surge in street crime.
Still, people were eager to cast a free vote, even though much is
unclear about what will happen next, whatever the outcome.
Many liberals, leftists, Christians and pious Muslims who oppose
mixing religion and politics went to the polls to try to reduce the
scope of the Muslim Brotherhood's electoral gains.
Also weighing heavily on voters' minds was whether this election
will set Egypt on a path of democracy under the rule of the
military. Protests this month have demanded that the generals step
down immediately because of fears they are trying to cling to power
and not bring real reform.
The parliament that emerges may have little relevance because
the military is sharply limiting its powers, and it may only serve
for several months. However, the vote will give Egyptians and the
world an accurate reading of the strength of the political forces
at work in the Arab world's most populous nation.
A reliable political map of the nation would also have an impact
beyond Egypt's borders, serving as a guide to whether the close
U.S. ally will continue to be the main source of moderation in the
region and assume the mantle of a key advocate of Middle East
peace.
The election is the fruit of the Arab Spring revolts that have
swept the region in the past year, toppling several authoritarian
regimes. In Tunisia and Morocco, Islamic parties have come out
winners in recent balloting, but if the much larger Egypt does the
same, it could have an even greater impact.
Some voters brought their children along, saying they wanted
them to learn how to exercise their rights in what promises to be
the fairest and cleanest election in Egypt in living memory.
The biggest complaint Monday was the long wait, with polling
stations opening late or running out of ballots. There also was
campaigning outside polling centers in violation of the law.
"If you have waited for 30 years, can't you wait now for another
hour?" an army officer yelled at hundreds of restless women at one
Cairo polling station.
Supporters of the Freedom and Justice party, the Brotherhood's
political arm, were seen with laptop computers helping voters with
information on where they should cast their ballots but writing the
information on large cards with the party logo on one side and the
name and photos of its candidates on the other. Party supporters
also appeared to be allowed to maintain security at some places or
help the elderly vote.
"I never voted because I was never sure it was for real. This
time, I hope it is, but I am not positive," said Shahira Ahmed, 45,
waiting with her husband and daughter with about 500 other
people.
Even before polls opened at 8 a.m., Cairo voters stood in lines
stretching several hundred yards, suggesting a respectable turnout.
Under heavy security from police and soldiers, the segregated lines
of men and women snaked around blocks and prompted authorities to
extend voting by two hours.
For decades, few Egyptians bothered to vote because nearly every
election was rigged, whether by bribery, ballot-box stuffing or
police intimidation. Turnout was often in the single digits.
"I am voting for freedom. We lived in slavery. Now we want
justice in freedom," said 50-year-old Iris Nawar at a polling
station in Maadi, a Cairo suburb. "We are afraid of the Muslim
Brotherhood. But we lived for 30 years under Mubarak, we will live
with them, too."
In a heavy rain in Alexandria, a line of women displayed Egypt's
religious spectrum _ Christians, Muslims with heads bared, others
in conservative headscarves, still others wearing the black robes
that left only the eyes exposed. Nearby, one soldier shouted
through a megaphone: "Choose freely. Choose whomever you want to
vote for."
In Tahrir Square on Monday, a crowd of about 2,000 kept the
round-the-clock protest going. Clashes during the demonstrations
left more than 40 dead.
Standing outside the tent where he has camped since Friday,
protester Ibrahim Hassan, 22, said it was wrong to have elections
before the military gives up power and when members of Mubarak's
ruling party can still run.
"So they'll elect a parliament, but they won't give it any power
or let it write the constitution," he said. "So what's the
point?"
A Facebook page that played a crucial role in mobilizing the
anti-Mubarak uprising indicated how the election has thrown
Tahrir's die-hard revolutionaries into confusion. It said everyone
should vote but must wear black while doing so in mourning for
those killed in last week's protests.
"We will go to the elections because it is the first step on the
path of taking power back from the military, who we believe should
go quickly back to their barracks," according to the page.
The Brotherhood entered the campaign with a powerful network
around the country and years of experience in political activism,
even though it was banned under Mubarak. Also running are
candidates for the even more conservative Salafi movement, which
advocates a hard-line Saudi Arabian-style interpretation of
Islam.
While the Brotherhood shows a willingness at times to play
politics and compromise in its ideology, many Salafis insist that
democracy take a back seat to Islamic law.
In contrast, the secular and liberal youth groups who engineered
the uprising failed to capitalize on their triumph to contest the
election effectively. They largely had to create new parties from
scratch, most of which were not widely known and were plagued by
divisions.
"The Muslim Brotherhood are the people who have stood by us when
times were difficult," said Ragya el-Said, a 47-year-old lawyer in
Alexandria, a stronghold for the group. "We have a lot of
confidence in them."
But the Brotherhood faces opposition. Even some who favor more
religion in public life are suspicious of its motives, and the
large Christian minority _ about 10 percent of the population of
around 85 million _ fear rising Islamism.
"I'm a Muslim but won't vote for any Islamist party because
their views are too narrow," said Eman el-Khoury, 53, looking
disapprovingly at Brotherhood activists handing out campaign
leaflets near an Alexandria polling station in violation of the
law. "How can we change this country when at an opportunity for
change we make the same dirty mistakes?"
For many of those who did not want to vote for the Brotherhood
or other Islamists, the alternative was not clear.
"I don't know any of the parties or who I'm voting for," said
Teresa Sobhi, a Christian voter in the southern city of Assiut.
"I'll vote for the first names I see, I guess."
The election will be held over multiple stages, with different
provinces taking turns to vote with each round. Voting for 498-seat
People's Assembly, parliament's lower chamber, will last until
January, then elections for the 390-member upper house will drag on
until March.
Each round lasts two days. Some voters said they feared
vote-rigging because the ballot boxes would be left at polling
stations overnight. Monday and Tuesday's vote takes place in nine
provinces whose residents account for 24 million of Egypt's
estimated 85 million people.
The ballots are a confusing mix of party lists that will gain
seats according to proportions of votes and individual candidates
who will have to enter runoffs after each round if no one gets 50
percent in the first round.
Mixed in are candidates labeled as "farmer" or "worker" who must
gain a certain number of seats, a holdover from the Mubarak regime,
which manipulated the process to elect his cronies.
A parliament dominated by Islamists but without any significant
powers could potentially provide the spark for an open conflict
with the generals. On the other hand, a clean and fair vote would
give legitimacy to the election and credibility to the military at
a time when the Tahrir Square protesters are trying to convince
everyone that the generals are not serious about reform.
A high turnout among the estimated 50 million voters could water
down the showing of the Brotherhood, since its core of supporters
are the most likely to vote, hurting the standing of the Tahrir
activists. A low turnout would undermine the credibility of the
election and boost some of the prestige the Tahrir activists.
Now that the Military Junta is prepared to hand over power to a civilian led government in Egypt, the protesters must calm down and wait for the outcome of the elections. Egypt will surely bounce back to her former glory. Africa needs Egypt to make the continent more attractive because it is a major tourist destination. I know for sure that there are some big shots behind these latest protests going on in Tahrir Square.
Now that the Military Junta is prepared to hand over power to a civilian led government in Egypt, the protesters must calm down and wait for the outcome of the elections. Egypt will surely bounce back to her former glory. Africa needs Egypt to make the continent more attractive because it is a major tourist destination. I know for sure that there are some big shots behind these latest protests going on in Tahrir Square.
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